Many discussions of legal market evolution or revolution (AKA disruption) miss a key element: our perception of change. This hit home last week in a fabulous Twitter dialog that I had with Jason Barnwell, Assistant General Counsel, Legal Business, Operations, and Strategy at Microsoft.
In response to one of my Tweets, Jason hand-drew a diagram that uses simple math and a graph to explain how our perception of change can differ. (Our Twitter dialogue appears at end of this post). Here is Jason’s drawing with my typed version of his legend below:

“If you started at Time(0) you see 4 units of change in 35 years. That is 0.11 change units per year. If you start at Time(30) you see 1 unit of change in 5 years. That is 0.2 change unites per year.
The perception of rate of change is relative to the duration and entry point of your participation”
So the perceived rate of change can differ can differ by as much as 100%. Jason’s explanation of how our perception of change can differ gave rise to other comments. My favorite comes from Andrew Medeiros, Director of Practice Solutions, Pepper Hamilton, who added a Catch-22 element:

Beyond explaining how our perception of change differs, Jason’s diagram illustrates the value of math, charts, and visuals. His elegantly simple visual display drew far more likes and ReTweets than most legal tech Tweets that I see, and indicator that it grabbed attention. It wonderfully illustrates a point I made in my recent post about the importance of visual intelligence and echoes my like for curves, to wit, my 2019 post on The Big Law Service Delivery Curve.
I hope as lawyers see more diagrams, they embrace math and charts as a way to understand and persuade. Today it seems many fear both – and that is a risk. As Stephen Embry points out in a two-part post last week on lessons for lawyers from CES, leading consumer companies understand the need for visuals, especially video, and storytelling. Lawyers who fail to perceive the cultural shift to the visual, who remain wed to text and only text, may find they play a diminishing role in the 2020s.
Our Perception of Change: The Tweet Stream
We seem to be bad at perceiving acceleration curves as a species, probably because we evolved in a narrow velocity band. So, I don't know where we are in the market change curve, and the current rate of change is probably still small, but…
— Jason Barnwell (@smuckwell) January 9, 2020

Can we call this the Friedmann Effect? pic.twitter.com/NxcV65zetc
— Jason Barnwell (@smuckwell) January 9, 2020
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